Now they would have people freeze this winter.
WANKERS!
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Pity it has taken him two years to finally agree with what I was saying!
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SAGE admits its projection for 10,000 Omicron hospitalisations was off the mark https://t.co/jUkEDk0QVA
— Daily Mail Online (@MailOnline) January 21, 2022
Handcock confirmed yesterday that London will go into Tier 3 on Wednesday.
It is worth remembering that other countries in Europe are under a stricter lockdown and some, eg Germany, closed their bars/restaurants some weeks ago. Yet they are seeing an increase in cases.
Here are a few points worth remembering:
- The people ordering lockdowns and pub closures will not be losing their jobs and, when this is over, will still be paid and entitled to a nice defined benefit pension when they retire.
- Bars and restaurants are not responsible for the increase in cases (especially in countries where they are already closed!).
- The more restrictions you place on people, and the less opportunity you give them to socialise in clean well ventilated places (eg pubs), the more inclined they are to break the rules.
- Where the pubs are shut, or placed under idiotic restrictions (eg the "substantial meal" rule) people socialise in each others' homes.
- It is clear, based on the petty minded nonsense of some of the restrictions, that SAGE does not understand human nature.
- Households are the prime drivers of infection; as they are not well ventilated, not clean and not socially distanced (unlike pubs and restaurants).
- SAGE will always recommend stricter lockdowns, it has become a scratched record that needs to be thrown away.
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Nanny and her acolytes from SAGE are determined to add a bit of No! No! No! to the season of goodwill.
Not content with banning board games (lest we start licking the playing pieces and succumb to Covid), Nanny and SAGE have put together a wee list of rules for the festive season (see above).
I would venture to observe that not every home has a fire pit (or garden!), nor the space required for placing another table in the dining area (even if there is another table spare).
I wonder if the boffins who come up with these rules, have grasped the fact that not everyone in the UK is middle class and lives in Islington?
That aside, I note with a degree of astonishment that Nanny wants Granny placed near an open window. Now whilst this might lessen her chances of going down with Covid, it most assuredly guarantees that she will go down with pneumonia.
However, if she then dies from the pneumonia you can rest assured that her death certificate will cite Covid as being the cause of death!
I have said it before, and will say it again, SAGE can get stuffed!
As England awaits news from our lord and masters in the public health lobby as to which Tier we will be placed in (SPOILER ALERT: hardly any region, if at all, will be in Tier 1), and the economy and hospitality industry is destroyed, I draw your attention to the above information from SAGE.
Pubs are safer than homes!
Therefore Nanny, by shutting the pubs, has in fact increased the spread of Covid; as people have been socialising in their Covid infested sealed homes rather than in clean, socially distanced, well ventilated pubs!
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It transpires that the dodgy models used by SAGE back in Q1 were based on not only lousy assumptions, but also dodgy data sourced from Wikipedia!
Oh, and just to double down on the amateurishness of it all, not one member of SAGE was an expert in Corona type viruses!
Watch Lockdown 1.0 - Following the Science? on BBC 2 to see the inside story on how Nanny was in fact following The Wikipedia!
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Professor Gabriel Scally, of "Independent" Sage (aka Communist SAGE, a group set up to destabilise government Covid policy - not that it needs much destabilising!) has come up with a terrific wheeze for Christmas.
Can you guess what this is children?
Yes, that's right, he wants us to plant Christmas trees in our gardens; and sit under them on Christmas day in order to exchange gifts etc in a "Covid free" environment.
Two "wee" problems with this:
1 It's mid winter!
2 Many people don't have gardens.
Scally and "Independent" SAGE can stuff their advice exactly where you would expect to put SAGE at Christmas time!
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SAGE models overestimation of deaths - data presented at the government press conference on the 31st October may be four times too high. Here's why: https://t.co/srhABjK6o6@carlheneghan #EvidenceCOVID #COVIDresearch
— CEBM (@CebmOxford) November 2, 2020
The slides leaked to the BBC on estimated COVID-19 deaths, and presented at the government press conference on the 31st October, were based on different models from at least three weeks ago.
This allows us to check the projections for November the 1st.
The PHE/Cambridge model on this date has an estimated projection of 1,000 deaths, yet deaths are averaging just over 200 deaths for this date on the government’s staging website.
We estimate the Imperial model to be projecting approximately 486 deaths on the 1st of November, LSHTM 266 deaths and Warwick 234.
Saturday’s Downing Street press conference had scientists present graphs suggesting England could see 4,000 daily deaths early next month. These figures appear to be grossly misleading, even the USA has not topped 2,000 deaths per day and its population is approximately six times larger than the UK's.
Nanny has been scared witless before with the infamous Imperial model of 500K deaths, Nanny now appears to be falling for the same style of exaggerated projections again.
The models are only as good as the data and assumptions fed into them; it is apparent that both the data and assumptions used are not credible. As such, we need to ask why are SAGE allowed to take effective control of government decisions without rigorous analysis of their data and assumptions?
In the fog of war decisions have to be made on the basis of imperfect data. However, when that data is so wildly off the mark you have to question the motivation of those who present it!
It is clear that Covid should not just be allowed to rip willy nilly through the country. However, a more measured and targeted response (as the Tier system was trying to do) which is less brutal than the blunt mallet of a lockdown is surely appropriate?
At the very least, when people are being told to lockdown they deserve to be given the full facts of the costs of the lockdown (in terms of the economic, health, education and psychological damage that lockdowns cause).
Nanny Knows Best: The Hypocrisy of The Lockdown Zealots https://t.co/yD9IHzwlIz The media, certain politicians and the SAGE "boffins" are calling for another lockdown, because the first one "worked so well"!
— Ken Frost (@ken_frost) October 28, 2020
Just step back a minute and consider these points: pic.twitter.com/ipfGC9rxEC
SAGE's calculator needs attention. Up to 107k deaths saved by Jan? Let's ignore the WHO IFR of 0.1% and go with CDC of 0.26%. That would imply 22million infections in UK so far meaning we're half way there. Very worst case scenario cannot mean more deaths than we've already had.
— Dr Clare Craig FRCPath (@ClareCraigPath) October 14, 2020
www.nannyknowsbest.com is brought to you by www.kenfrost.com "The Living Brand"I note that those keenest to Lock us all Down again are richer older academic people wih gold-plated pensions and secure employment.
— Latimer Alder (@latimeralder) October 14, 2020
Like the SAGE guys.
Easy enough to recommend ruining the futures of everybody else (especially youngsters) when yours won't be much affected. pic.twitter.com/oJeamxiXXW
Yesterday, I wrote that thanks to a Tweet from an idiot on "Independent SAGE", the media ran scare stories about a second National Lockdown.
The idiot subsequently retracted his tweet, and media were forced into a temporary retreat.
However, today the media have come back guns blazing citing "sources" from the real SAGE saying that a two week lockdown is coming.
Nanny, is currently running scared and will be easily pushed into a second lockdown by the media who are intent on wrecking the country.
As if by magic up pops Hancock, more or less saying that there will be another lockdown!
NEW
— Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) September 18, 2020
Boris Johnson considering national restrictions on social lives to curb infections - possibly as soon as next week https://t.co/lJEIBlsD0z
Just remember folks, local lockdowns and "restrictions" (when applied to large swathes of the country) are in effect a National Lockdown!
Lockdowns are the least effective tool against an endemic virus, all they do is kick the can down the road.
Like it or not we will have to live with this.
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